ROOF Blog

Housing statistics for the final quarter of 2008 show a record low for the number of new homes being built. Housing starts (the number of private new homes under construction) were down 58 per cent from Q4 of 2007. Private enterprise housing starts were 64 per cent lower than the December quarter of 2007, with annual housing starts figures for England continuing to decline, totaling 105,000 in 2008, down some 37 per cent compared with 2007 and 43 per cent below their 2005-06 peak. Chairman of the Local Government Association housing board, Cllr Paul Bettison, said: ‘The slowdown in private sector house building will eventually affect the amount of affordable housing that is being built. This will mean fewer new social homes at a time when there will be more demand for them.’

Deloitte, Britain’s second-biggest professional services group, is to seize a foothold in the £2 billion commercial property consulting market by acquiring one of Britain’s oldest real estate firms. The ‘big four’ accountant will merge its real estate practice with Drivers Jonas, the UK’s eighth-biggest commercial property adviser. The new unit will have revenue of £110 million and 700 staff, but John Connolly, Deloitte’s chief executive, who forged the deal, said that fee income is expected to more than double to £250 million within three years. Mr Connolly said that Deloitte identified Drivers Jonas as the most attractive target in the commercial property market because of its size, profitability and reputation.

Housing associations are preparing for a funding crisis that will result in a shortfall of newly built social homes from next year. The Chartered Institute of Housing (CIH) has warned of the risk that the needs of the poorest will not be met from 2011 as public money dries up, leaving housing associations less able to finance the social rented sector. The Tenant Services Authority (TSA) said that it expected the number of homes built by housing associations to fall from 50,000 a year last year to 40,000 a year after 2011. Even at current funding levels, housing associations — the main providers of UK social housing — said that, to stay afloat, they had been forced to switch away from provision of social rented homes and towards more lucrative home ownership schemes geared towards renters on higher incomes.

The UK’s largest privately owned housebuilder said the availability of loans to homebuyers would be a crucial ingredient in a return to a stable housing market. Delivering an upbeat trading statement for the year to December 31, Miller Group, the Edinburgh based building, construction and property company, said it was seeing a gradual improvement in the housebuilding market in spite of a demanding economic environment. ‘Volumes are low but the demand has fallen a long way as the money to buy is not as readily available and the balance with supply is now much more in line,’ said Keith Miller, chief executive. ‘However, if we are to see any degree of long-term stability, it is crucial that the housing market gets a continuing supply of mortgages,’ he added.

Construction activity fell in December for the 22nd month in a row as a surge in housing was offset by a sharp decline in commercial building. The construction purchasing managers’ index, where any level below 50 signals a drop in business activity, rose slightly to 47.1 from 47 last month. ‘December was another disappointing month for the UK construction sector. Unlike other parts of the economy, it seems unable to escape the shackles of the recession,’ said David Noble, chief executive of the Chartered Institute for Purchasing and Supply. ‘Purchasing managers painted a bleak picture as firms suffered from reduced client demand and falls in new business.’

Housebuilders and construction workers have begun a campaign to fight off a new tax crackdown on the building trade, which the industry claims will stifle the sector’s recovery and make it difficult to hit government housing targets.

The Home Builders Federation and the Federation of Master Builders will launch its Stop the Unfair Building Tax campaign today to try to persuade the government to rethink proposals that the industry says will push more workers into the black market.

The Government wants to stamp out false self-employed status in the building industry, which it says costs the Exchequer £350 million a year.

It proposes to collect tax and national insurance contributions from an estimated 300,000 workers who claim self-employed status.

Workers will be deemed employees unless they supply their own materials and equipment, or other people’s labour as well as their own.

Construction will start on a third fewer social homes next year, in a vivid sign of wider impending restraints on government spending.

The news comes as the country’s property quango the Homes and Communities Agency (HCA) reveals that the value of its development assets has plunged £1.1bn as a result of the housing crash.

But this financial fillip will only have a temporary impact, according to targets set by the HCA. Overall completions will continue to rise from a total of 55,625 this year to 61,500 next year, partly as a result of the government’s injection of money.

But housing starts will drop away next year, suggesting that there will be fewer completions in the coming years.

Only 29,900 grant-funded housing starts are scheduled for 2010-11, a drop of 34 per cent from the 45,500 target for the current financial year.

Of those, the number of social rented homes built under the National Affordable Housing Programme will halve from 30,389 in 2008-09 to 14,500 next year.

Government spending cuts on construction risk deepening the recession and making it harder for the economy to recover in future, the CBI employers’ organisation have warned.

Every £1 spent on construction generates a £2.84 increase in national income according to a report by the CBI’s UK Contractors’ Group, and cuts would diminish gross domestic product (GDP) to the same extent.

John McDonough, chief executive of Carillion and chairman of the CBI’s construction council, said the sector was likely to be in the line of fire when the government attempts to narrow its yawning budget deficit:

‘The public purse can’t afford what it has afforded in the past, but we need to be prepared for what’s going to happen in the next 12 months,’ he said.

‘Construction makes up around 8 per cent of UK GDP and a similar proportion of employment, but it has been hit hard by the recession.

‘Its rate of redundancy, at 28 per 1,000 employees is the highest of any sector, and the short-term nature of much construction work means that the true decline in employment is likely to be greater.’