ROOF Blog

Most Britons believe that house prices will rise this year as the country awaits official confirmation that the worst peacetime recession is finally over. A survey by Rightmove found that 53 per cent of those in the UK believe house prices will rise over the next 12 months, compared with just 10 per cent at the beginning of last year. The sharp upswing in confidence about one of the worst affected sectors during the recession comes prior to the publication of figures tomorrow that are expected to show the economy started growing again in the last quarter of 2009. Economists are predicting that the Office for National Statistics will say that gross domestic product increased by 0.4 per cent, which would mark the official end of the recession following six quarters of contraction.

Mortgage lending fell by 10 per cent during November as the market suffered its traditional seasonal slowdown, figures showed today. A total of £12bn was advanced during the month, down from £13.3bn in October and 14 per cent less than in November last year, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). The group said a modest decline was typically seen between October and November, although the 10 per cent fall was ‘a little larger’ than normal. But it added that market conditions were holding steady and it did not expect much change during the coming months. The CML’s economist, Paul Samter, said: ‘There could be a modest decline in underlying house buying activity in early 2010 due to the stamp duty holiday ending, with activity ‘bunching’ over the last few months of 2009.’