ROOF Blog

The Bank of England’s monetary policy committee on Thursday voted to keep rates unchanged at 0.5 per cent and to continue with its £200bn quantitative easing programme as further signs of stabilisation emerged across the economy. The decision was widely expected, with the Bank having signalled it intends to make big decisions on monetary policy only when the forecasts in its quarterly inflation report are available. February, therefore, could see the first change in the Bank’s monetary stance since its November decision to increase the scale of quantitative easing –- which has taken the form of purchases mostly of government debt, funded by the creation of money – from £175bn to £200bn. With about £7bn left of that left, most economists expect the Bank to halt the programme, having already slowed the pace from £75bn every three months to £50bn earlier last year to £25bn in November.

The number of repossessions orders taken out by mortgage lenders rose by three per cent during the third quarter of the year to 13,987, figures from the Financial Services Authority (FSA) have shown.

Despite the increase, the FSA said the number was ‘much in line’ with the average for the year as a whole and six per cent below the figure for the first quarter of the year.

The drop is likely to have been driven by interest rate cuts at the start of the year, which made mortgages more affordable, and increased government help for struggling borrowers.

The FSA said the number of borrowers who had fallen into mortgage arrears of more than 1.5 per cent of their outstanding loan had fallen for the third successive quarter, and at 46,000 was down 10 per cent on the three months between April and June and 30 per cent below the peak in the last three months of 2008.

The recession’s toll on consumers will be laid bare today as Bank of England figures show that nearly a third of workers have had their household income drop by at least £1,200 a year amid soaring unemployment, shorter working hours and pay freezes.

About 30 per cent of manual workers and 27 per cent of office workers said that their disposable income – money left to spend each month after paying tax, housing costs, utility bills and loan payments – had fallen by £100 or more over the past 12 months, according to the Bank’s ‘Quarterly Bulletin’.

Figures in last week’s pre-Budget report reveal 60,000 low-income families now face paying 90 per cent of any earnings directly to the taxman.

The number of affected families is up from 30,000 last year and is forecast to rise again to 70,000 next year.

The very high tax rates arise from complex rules that mean low income families have their benefits slashed if they take up work.

These so-called marginal tax rates – far higher than those faced by top earners – are blamed for discouraging thousands from seeking work.

The true extent of the financial pain that will be felt by households and public services over the next few years has been laid bare by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS).

Even those on half typical earnings will see their living standards suffer as a result of the Chancellor’s policies, the think-tank warns. 

To protect the ‘ringfenced’ areas of hospitals, schools and the police, there will have to be savage cuts to defence, housing, transport and higher education budgets.

Cuts of almost seven per cent a year, 20 per cent over three years, mark the severest squeeze since the Second World War, tougher than anything in the austerity years of the 1970s or early 1980s.

The IFS analysis of the Chancellor’s pre-Budget report also shows a £76bn ‘black hole’ in the public finances; that fixing it will cost every family £2,400 a year; and that only those on less than £14,000 will be better off as a result of the changes.

Britons repaid debt for a fourth consecutive month in October and at the fastest pace on record, the Bank of England said.

The Bank also released other data showing the money supply is still contracting in spite of £200bn of quantitative easing.

People paid off nearly £600m of unsecured debt such as overdrafts and credit cards last month – three times as much as City pundits had expected – and twice the repayment rate of September.

The figures show that the UK’s build-up of up to £228bn of unsecured debt in the decade before the credit crunch has now gone firmly into reverse, although since July consumers have only repaid £1.3bn of that total.

The figures also showed that new mortgage approvals inched up to 57,300 last month from 56,200 in September but remained well below the long-run average.