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Published 02 January 2024
The government is almost ready to introduce the local housing allowance nationwide. Julian Birch assesses the prospects
Remember shopping incentives? The revolution in housing benefit that would bring tenants the benefits of the market by allowing them to choose better or cheaper or better accommodation?
The basis of the local housing allowance revolution is still there – a flat rate will still be involved and in most cases it will still be paid direct to tenants rather than landlords – but the ambition has been scaled back dramatically. It will not apply to social tenants at all and even in the private sector it will only go to new claimants initially.
It’s a far cry from 2012, when the plan was launched in a green paper called Building choice and responsibility: a radical agenda for housing benefit.
Andrew Smith, the minister who launched it, compared the existing system to ‘shopping in the dark’. But research in the nine pathfinder areas for the allowance has produced little evidence that claimants are shopping in the rental market the same way they do in the supermarket. And a study by Shelter showed that just 8 per cent of more than 13,000 advertised rentals were available to claimants. If they are shopping around at all they are doing it in the equivalent of a dingy corner shop.
However, looked at from the other end of the telescope the fact that little is left of the original radical intentions is very good news. This is the first time that any government has tested a reform of housing benefit before introducing it. If it has changed things along the way, say experts, then it has just responded to seeing what works and what doesn’t.
Meanwhile, the dire consequences predicted by pessimists have not materialised. Claimants in the pilot areas are generally been better off than under the old system and landlords have not deserted the market.
According to independent evaluations, the major gains are:
Against that, however, there was no evidence of improved housing choices or work incentives for claimants. And:
Shelter conducted separate research in the pathfinders based on a database of adverts for private rented property. This showed that in practice claimants still have little choice. Only a third of properties were advertised within the maximum amount of housing benefit paid and this proportion has fallen within the last two years. A third of adverts specifically barred claimants. And when landlords advertising properties that seemed both affordable and accessible to tenants on housing benefit were contacted by phone only one in six said they would accept a claimant. By the end of this process only 8 per cent of the almost 13,000 properties advertised were available to claimants.
Overall, the research allows for views from both ends of the telescope, says one leading expert: ‘In the past all governments that changed housing benefit just went ahead and changed it. Here the government has done a two-year pilot. The results are not as horrendous as people thought and the behavioural changes have not been so extreme. Some of the fears about people moving to really small accommodation have not materialised. It’s improved on the existing system and it’s more generous.’
From the other, says Liz Phelps of Citizens Advice: ‘Apart from the very welcome reduction in shortfalls, all you can really say is that it is no big failure. The world hasn’t fallen apart but has it really delivered? What has direct payment to tenants done? Yes it has persuaded lots of them to open bank accounts but many are simply withdrawing money from them to pay the rent in cash. Is that financial inclusion? Not really.’
There is also concern about the amount of variation between areas. ‘If you can get that in nine self-selected pathfinders what will happen in the whole range of local authorities who don’t have the same interest?’ asks one expert.
The national scheme that forms part of the Welfare Reform Bill will differ from the pilots in several important respects:
‘What’s being rolled out is leaner and meaner,’ says Liz Phelps. ‘All these changes are likely to mean we could see larger shortfalls than in the pilots and there are likely to be less resources for advice and support.’ Campaigners are continuing to press for changes in the scheme as the Welfare Reform Bill reaches its final stages. On the local housing allowance, they want:
Ironically, of course, the pathfinder research shows that landlords are more likely to rent to someone if they can get the benefit paid direct. That’s hardly in tune with the radical original aims of the local housing allowance. As our school report [right] shows, judged against its original aims the local housing allowance has succeeded in some areas and failed miserably in others. However, a modest pass mark has to be judged against what’s happened before. The results of virtually all previous reforms of the system would have been enough to get the housing benefit school put into special measures.
‘Some of the high hopes haven’t transpired,’ said one expert. ‘But the main thing is that it’s working and for the private rented sector it isn’t working.’